US election: Why has Trump caught Clinton in the polls?

Source: BBC, realclearpolitics.com, Washington Post, New York Times, YouGov

A bit of US Politics now and this article discusses the extravagant race to become the new president for the USA. The fight has seen a current leading outcome of Hilary Clinton of the Democrats, face off against presumptive Republican candidate Donald Trump in a head to head battle for the presidential ‘prize’.

Of late according to the BBC, we have seen for the first time in this long election campaign, ”Republican Donald Trump pull ahead of Democrat Hillary Clinton in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls.”

The BBC comment further to say, Mrs Clinton’s double-digit lead, which she has held over the past several months,” has vanished – and with it, apparently, Democrats’ dreams of a transformational 2016 victory that would leave Republicans wandering the wilderness for a generation.”

So how has this happened?

  • Trump has growing Republican (and a lot of white citizen) backing:

According to a Washington Post survey, 85% of Republicans plan to vote for their man. A New York Times offering finds a similar number.

”As for the party establishment, most prominent officeholders seem to either be backing Mr Trump or trying their best to disappear into the scenery. Even Senator John McCain, whose war record was belittled by Mr Trump last summer, has said he’ll support the party nominee.”

  • Hilary has Sanders halting her campaign:

A recent Economist/YouGov poll shows that among Sanders supporters, 55% would vote for Mrs Clinton, 15% would back Mr Trump and the rest either don’t know or would pick someone else. It’s not particularly surprising, given that 61% of Sanders backers view Mrs Clinton unfavourably and 72% say she’s “not honest and trustworthy”.

The BBC have stated that ”the exchanges over head-to-head polling are just part of the increased tension within the Democratic Party that could be having a negative effect on Mrs Clinton’s polling numbers.”

  • The Demographical split effect:

The BBC have stated that ”minorities and women are overwhelming supporting Mrs Clinton. Right now that’s being balanced out by whites and men who are backing Mr Trump in large numbers.”

Exactly how big are these gaps? According to the Washington Post poll, ”57% of whites and men support Mr Trump. Mrs Clinton can count on the backing of 69% of non-whites, and leads Mr Trump 52% to 38% among women.”

Among whites without a college degree, ”65% support Mr Trump versus only 25% for Mrs Clinton.”

What’s your view of the US Presidential Race?

What other factors are effecting the race for each candidate? Which campaign do you think is stronger? Who will come out on top in the end?

Comment Below YOUR views about the US presidential race in the comment section 

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