Brexit Report: Article 50 will be triggered and the UK will leave the single market

SOURCES: BBC

Back in October, ThePoliticsView published an article outlining most of the major political news that occurred in September and October 2016. 

In terms of the UK perspective, it outlined how former UKIP leader Diane James had resigned, triggering a new leadership election for the party to occur. It turns out the new leader voted in was Paul Nuttall, UKIP MEP for the North West of England. He now will contest in February’s Stoke Central by-election after it was triggered by the labour party following the resignation of former labour MP Tristram Hunt.

It also stated that Jeremy Corbyn had won the leadership election for Labour, beating contestant Owen Smith to hold his spot as The Labour Party leader. Tristram Hunt was a known critic of Corbyn, hence partly why he resigned, as well as former Copeland MP Jamie Reed who’s resignation has triggered a by-election in Copeland on the same day as Stoke Central, 23rd February.

The Liberal Democrats have shown a resurgence of late winning multiple council elections and the Parliamentary by-election in Richmond where new MP Sarah Olney beat former Conservative MP, turned Independent Zac Goldsmith over the Heathrow Expansion row.  They are clearly aiming to appeal to remain voters after constantly addressing the issues of leaving the EU and critiquing the Conservative Governments Brexit plans.

But how has the following come to fruition?

Simply, you could argue one word has created this change. Brexit.

The country voted for Brexit on June 23rd, and despite numerous of stories and attempts for a Veto on Brexit; including a high court lawsuit against the Government to allow a Parliamentary vote on Article 50, it’s happening sooner than later.

The September/October summary also expanded on how Prime Minister Theresa May has promised Brexit will happen by March 2017.  This is now inevitably going to happen sometime in late March, early April time.

Article 50 will be triggered and the UK is leaving the EU.

Theresa May has stated already that the UK must leave the single market, tighten immigration into the UK and be a world leader in free-trade. 

She has also proclaimed that the two+ year process that Article 50 gives towards leaving the EU, will be heavily negotiated to put the UK first.

She now wants free-trade trade deals for the UK across the globe with other nations as a consequence of leaving the single market the EU allows access members to.

This all sounds rather promising and encouraging despite what critics say. Some say it’s easier said than done, some say it can be done, but it won’t be easy.

It for sure won’t be easy. The UK will now have to intensely lobby the EU to allow the UK to leave with as many benefits as possible. The reason it will be tough, is due to the so-called bureaucracy and stubbornness the EU has in place and the fact they won’t let the UK have to many benefits from Brexit, in case other eurosceptic nations follow suit to a Brexit in there own way.

This is why the UK is accepting it has to leave the single market. There is little to no chance of keeping free market status, if the UK is wanting to stop the freedom of movement into the State. That is a simple fact.

So what will the UK hope to look like post Brexit come 2018/2019 or beyond? In summary:

  • The UK will be officially independent and out of the EU.
  • The freedom of movement into the UK will be stopped.
  • The UK will be out of the Single Market.
  • The UK will begin or expand on free-trade deals globally.
  • The UK will begin to open trade deals with the EU states, hoping to be Tariff and Tax free.
  • The UK will prepare for the 2020 General Election.

That is a basic summary of what the UK will want to look like according to the Prime Minister Theresa May. Will this be the case? It’s very difficult to say. But optimism is essential and the Government will need to go into talks with the EU representing not only the people who voted to leave, but the people who wanted to remain also.

This is going to be the one of the most difficult and uncertain times in UK political history, especially since the 1st and 2nd World War’s.

Not only that, but the UK itself finds themselves in a battle to keep itself together, especially after Scotland’s Leader Nicola Sturgeon is undoubtably going to attempt to trigger another Scottish Independence Referendum before the new decade, after their access to the free-market will be stopped.

Turbulence is undoubtedly expected, but as stated, the UK will leave the EU in some form.

The question is, how do you think the UK will get on both during negotiations, and post negotiations with the EU? 

Will we acquire good trade deals globally?

Will Scotland become independent? 

Will the Conservatives win the 2020 General Election?

Will UKIP be relevant over the next 4-5 years?

Comment your views on Brexit, the UK, UK parties during the Brexit process and a possible Scottish Referendum below

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The UK’s EU referendum: Facts, Figures and all you need to know

Source: BBC, YouGov

Are you confused about the UK’s European Union membership and the upcoming referendum?

This blog will hopefully help you to learn more about the UK and EU relations ahead of the 23rd June Referendum…

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? This is the ultimate question of the referendum where you either vote yes or no as to what the UK should do in your opinion.

When is it happening?

23rd June 2016 in the UK.

Where/How do I vote?

Register to vote here at https://www.gov.uk/register-to-vote as soon as possible. You can register to vote firstly as a polling vote, where you vote yourself at a local polling station. Secondly, you can vote via a postal vote where you send your vote by letter to a local council or polling station. you can lastly vote by proxy, where you can register someone to vote on your behalf (if you give a valid reason why they are voting for you).

Who will be able to vote?

British, Irish and Commonwealth citizens over 18 who are resident in the UK, along with UK nationals living abroad who have been on the electoral register in the UK in the past 15 years. Members of the House of Lords and Commonwealth citizens in Gibraltar will also be eligible, unlike in a general election. Citizens from EU countries – apart from Ireland, Malta and Cyprus – will not get a vote. (BBC article at the top)

What is a referendum?

A referendum is basically a vote in which everyone (or nearly everyone) of voting age can take part, normally giving a “Yes” or “No” answer to a question. Whichever side gets more than half of all votes cast is considered to have won. (BBC article)

Who wants the UK to leave the EU?

Vote Leave are the campaigners to exit the EU.

The British public are fairly evenly split, according to the latest opinion polls. The UK Independence Party lead by Nigel Farage, which won the last European elections, and received nearly four million votes – 13% of those cast – in May’s general election, campaigns for Britain’s exit from the EU. About half of Conservative MPs, including five cabinet ministers, several Labour MPs and the DUP are also in favour of leaving. (BBC)

Who wants the UK to stay in the EU?

Britain Stronger in Europe are the campaigners to remain in the EU.

Prime Minister David Cameron wants Britain to stay in the EU, now he has got some powers back from it. Sixteen members of his cabinet also back staying in. The Conservative Party has pledged to be neutral in the campaign – but the Labour Party, SNP, Plaid Cymru and the Lib Dems are all in favour of staying in. US president Barack Obama also wants Britain to remain in the EU, as do other EU nations such as France and Germany. (BBC)

So far, the British public seems pretty evenly split on the issue with people aged 18-25 more likely to vote in, while people aged 60 and over more likely to vote out.

So would Britain be better in or out?

It depends which way you look at it – or what you believe is important. Leaving the EU would be a big step – arguably far more important than who wins a general election – but would it set the nation free or condemn it to economic ruin? Here is a rundown of the arguments for and against. (BBC)

What do you make of the EU Referendum?

Should we remain in the EU or exit? why do you believe we should remain? Why do you believe we should exit?

Comment below your views and questions 

SNP spring conference: Party to build new case for independence

Video Source: BBC

The BBC have announced that the Scottish National Party (SNP), are currently planning on building a new case towards a new independence vote.

The BBC outlines ”In September 2014, the electorate north of the border voted 55% to 45% against independence.”

”The politician Sturgeon, admitted that many had not “found our arguments compelling enough” to choose to leave the UK.”

”Ms Sturgeon said a new approach would begin in the summer, after the Holyrood election and the EU referendum.”

What’s your view of this?

Do the SNP have the facts and reasons to legislate a new independence vote after the EU Referendum? Do you think Scotland are better off outside the UK eventually? In your view, where would Scotland be now if they had exited in 2014, better off or worse?

Comment below your views

SNP will implement new taxation powers to ensure Scotland’s lowest earners get ‘a better deal’

Source The Daily Record

The Daily Record quote within an article that ”SOCIAL Justice Secretary Alex Neil has said new income tax powers coming to Holyrood in 2017 will be used to give Scotland’s lowest earners “a better deal”, indicating tax rises for those who earn the most.”

The Daily Record expand further to say ”He has already hinted at tax rises for the rich, stating he is in favour of “progressive taxation”, while the SNP backed restoration of the 50p top rate of tax at the general election.”

Whats your view of this? Will this ‘progressive taxation’ make a better tax society within Scotland? Would this be an effective taxation policy? Does this further a statement that Scotland are becoming more independent as time goes on, also considering the dominant SNP election results in 2015 within Sottish constituencies, although Scotland voted to stay within the UK?

Comment Below your view