Brexit Report: Article 50 will be triggered and the UK will leave the single market

SOURCES: BBC

Back in October, ThePoliticsView published an article outlining most of the major political news that occurred in September and October 2016. 

In terms of the UK perspective, it outlined how former UKIP leader Diane James had resigned, triggering a new leadership election for the party to occur. It turns out the new leader voted in was Paul Nuttall, UKIP MEP for the North West of England. He now will contest in February’s Stoke Central by-election after it was triggered by the labour party following the resignation of former labour MP Tristram Hunt.

It also stated that Jeremy Corbyn had won the leadership election for Labour, beating contestant Owen Smith to hold his spot as The Labour Party leader. Tristram Hunt was a known critic of Corbyn, hence partly why he resigned, as well as former Copeland MP Jamie Reed who’s resignation has triggered a by-election in Copeland on the same day as Stoke Central, 23rd February.

The Liberal Democrats have shown a resurgence of late winning multiple council elections and the Parliamentary by-election in Richmond where new MP Sarah Olney beat former Conservative MP, turned Independent Zac Goldsmith over the Heathrow Expansion row.  They are clearly aiming to appeal to remain voters after constantly addressing the issues of leaving the EU and critiquing the Conservative Governments Brexit plans.

But how has the following come to fruition?

Simply, you could argue one word has created this change. Brexit.

The country voted for Brexit on June 23rd, and despite numerous of stories and attempts for a Veto on Brexit; including a high court lawsuit against the Government to allow a Parliamentary vote on Article 50, it’s happening sooner than later.

The September/October summary also expanded on how Prime Minister Theresa May has promised Brexit will happen by March 2017.  This is now inevitably going to happen sometime in late March, early April time.

Article 50 will be triggered and the UK is leaving the EU.

Theresa May has stated already that the UK must leave the single market, tighten immigration into the UK and be a world leader in free-trade. 

She has also proclaimed that the two+ year process that Article 50 gives towards leaving the EU, will be heavily negotiated to put the UK first.

She now wants free-trade trade deals for the UK across the globe with other nations as a consequence of leaving the single market the EU allows access members to.

This all sounds rather promising and encouraging despite what critics say. Some say it’s easier said than done, some say it can be done, but it won’t be easy.

It for sure won’t be easy. The UK will now have to intensely lobby the EU to allow the UK to leave with as many benefits as possible. The reason it will be tough, is due to the so-called bureaucracy and stubbornness the EU has in place and the fact they won’t let the UK have to many benefits from Brexit, in case other eurosceptic nations follow suit to a Brexit in there own way.

This is why the UK is accepting it has to leave the single market. There is little to no chance of keeping free market status, if the UK is wanting to stop the freedom of movement into the State. That is a simple fact.

So what will the UK hope to look like post Brexit come 2018/2019 or beyond? In summary:

  • The UK will be officially independent and out of the EU.
  • The freedom of movement into the UK will be stopped.
  • The UK will be out of the Single Market.
  • The UK will begin or expand on free-trade deals globally.
  • The UK will begin to open trade deals with the EU states, hoping to be Tariff and Tax free.
  • The UK will prepare for the 2020 General Election.

That is a basic summary of what the UK will want to look like according to the Prime Minister Theresa May. Will this be the case? It’s very difficult to say. But optimism is essential and the Government will need to go into talks with the EU representing not only the people who voted to leave, but the people who wanted to remain also.

This is going to be the one of the most difficult and uncertain times in UK political history, especially since the 1st and 2nd World War’s.

Not only that, but the UK itself finds themselves in a battle to keep itself together, especially after Scotland’s Leader Nicola Sturgeon is undoubtably going to attempt to trigger another Scottish Independence Referendum before the new decade, after their access to the free-market will be stopped.

Turbulence is undoubtedly expected, but as stated, the UK will leave the EU in some form.

The question is, how do you think the UK will get on both during negotiations, and post negotiations with the EU? 

Will we acquire good trade deals globally?

Will Scotland become independent? 

Will the Conservatives win the 2020 General Election?

Will UKIP be relevant over the next 4-5 years?

Comment your views on Brexit, the UK, UK parties during the Brexit process and a possible Scottish Referendum below

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September & Early October Overview of all the main Political Stories

ThePoliticsView has had a short hiatus during the months of September and October. The reasons being the editor took time off to amend personal matters.

This blog should provide an overview of the main political stories that have occurred since the last published article, when Diane James was appointed the new UKIP leader back in early September.

Speaking of which, she has ended up stepping down from the UKIP leadership role just 18 days after being elected. She reportedly felt hard done by as leader, meaning she couldn’t coney her opinions freely within the party. Nigel Farage has stood in as temporary leader until a new leader is elected over the coming weeks.

The favourite Steven Woolfe has recently been out into hospital after a psychical altercation with another party MEP in Strasbourg. An investigation is now underway to deal with the issue, but Mr Woolfe has now been sent home from the hospital and is recovering well. He’s still considering running for UKIP leadership status as well as MEP Bill Etheridge who came 3rd behind Lisa Duffy and Diane James respectively in the last UKIP leadership election.

Theresa May and her new UK government have solidified the promised Brexit outcome from June’s referendum result by announcing article 50 will be triggered by early next March in 2017. All parties held their respective conferences over the past few months, and during the Conservative’s conference, she outlined her plans for brexit to occur and negotiations will continue to proceed towards structuring the UK’s plans for leaving the EU.

She also states that MP’s will not have a vote on the Tory’s outlined plans for triggering Article 50, and it will go ahead under the Conservatives ideals. This however, only means the negotiations will not be affected by MP’s, but they may have the final say upon the ‘final’ deal in place before the UK triggers article 50. More to come on that.

Jeremy Corbyn has retained his spot as Labour leader after beating his fellow competitor Owen Smith, winning just over 60% of the vote (61.8%). He has also since re-shaped Labours shadow cabinet and he wants to be a pivotal part of the brexit negotiations, as well as challenging the tories in the 2020 general election.

Finally, the last ‘major story’ over the past few weeks delves into the American Presidential race between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democrat candidate Hilary Clinton. They have held the first few hustings, gaining millions of viewers worldwide, which have provided some interesting outcomes.

It’s reported that neither of them are winning outright in each hustings, but many feel Hilary Clinton is just edging them slightly over her rival Trump. Trump hasn’t been short of controversy in his debating skills, bringing up sexism, racism and prejudism into the fray through is ‘normalised’ bigoted views. Hilary herself has also been scrutinised for her deleted emails, ill well-being and behind the scenes issues by Trump, so both candidates are under heavy fire whilst trying to become president. The polls still have them neck and neck come November 8th (the date of the election) so more to come on that in the next few weeks.

What do you make of these major political stories over the past few weeks?

Is UKIP going to recover soon? Who will be their new leader? Will brexit be a success? Has Theresa May shown enough ambition fro Britain? Will Jeremy Corbyn be a success as Labour leader? Can they compete with the tories in 2020? Who do you think will be the next American President and why?

Comment below your views on any of the respective stories below

Theresa May reportedly rejects Australian Points-Based system used for EU nationals

SOURCE: BBC

The Australian Points-Based System in which Vote Leave campaigners constantly addressed to be the way in which the UK would assess and bring in other EU nationals post-brexit was today declined as appropriate by the Prime Minister Theresa May.

Her reported rejection towards this particular immigration system came within China, where the PM has reportedly denied she had ‘gone soft’ on migration and further stated that people backed Brexit because they wanted ‘an element of control’.

She further stated that a points-based model “would not let the government control arrivals”.

The Ex-UKIP leader Nigel Farage said many people had voted Leave because of this policy, also verbally backed by others such as Boris Johnson and Michael Gove.

Although it was known that Mrs May supported remaining in the EU, she has constantly stated that the Brexit vote “must be respected” and further suggested that “curbs on the current free movement of EU citizens into the UK would be a red line in future negotiations with the EU”.

Speaking to multiple journalists and news reporters in China, she dismissed Vote Leave’s proposal of an ‘Australian-style points system’ that would ultimately decide the number of ‘skilled and unskilled’ workers who could come to live and work in the UK every year from the EU and beyond – with numbers to be determined by MPs.

Mrs May highlighted that rather than giving the government control, such a system would “allow anybody into the UK if they met the criteria”, also adding that curbs on student visas had “been a more effective measure to reduce immigration.”

Mrs May also indicated that EU citizens may continue to have their rights to live and work in the UK after Brexit.

What do you make of Theresa May rejecting this particular system of tackling Immigration?

How else can the UK deal with it’s Immigration levels? Is this Australian system the best option for the UK? If you voted to leave the EU, how much did immigration play upon your reasons to vote leave? Was it the major reason behind why you voted to leave?

To find out more about the Australian-Points system, go to this following link. 

Comment your views on how the UK should deal with it’s immigration below

Brexit will go ahead, Government Officials announce

SOURCE: BBC

Today, the government have announced that it will ‘push ahead’ and start to work towards triggering Brexit without Parliamentary approval, according to Downing Street officials.

The statement comes after Theresa May’s cabinet gathered at Chequers (the Prime Ministers Country Escape), and after discussions ended, it was announced at Number 10 that an agreement between collective cabinet ministers that their is a need for a ‘unique’ deal for the UK to occur.

Furthermore, Mrs May told cabinet colleagues that their needs to be a focus on the ‘positive opportunities’ that lie outside the EU, as she reiterated there would be no second referendum.

The BBC have outlined that Mrs May has said the UK would not stay in the EU “by the back door”.

The Prime Minister has also said official talks with the rest of the EU will not begin this year.

The respective meeting at the PM’s country residence is clearly the most significant since the referendum vote in June to exit the EU. Despite reports of tensions and diverging priorities among key figures in the Cabinet, the process to leave will go ahead and the Referendum result will be respected.

Its reported that the Cabinet ministers were asked before their summer break’s to identify what were described as the “opportunities” best suited for their respective departments.

These talks are influential upon Mrs May’s empowering words that the government was clear that “Brexit means Brexit”.

She further commented in her speech that: “We will be looking at the next steps that we need to take and we will also be looking at the opportunities that are now open to us as we forge a new role for the UK in the world”

Despite these talks, the prime minister has said the UK government will not trigger Article 50 – the official mechanism for beginning the process of leaving the EU – ‘until the start of 2017 at the earliest.’

Once triggered, discussions over the terms of the UK’s exit will reportedly conclude in two years, unless all 28 members of the EU agree to extend them.

Wednesday’s cabinet meeting is seen as a major opportunity for Mrs May and senior colleagues to talk through the issues involved ahead of this weekend’s summit of G20 leaders in China.

What do you make of the Governments Brexit plans?

Is now the time to get the ball rolling with Brexit? How do you think the UK will negotiate it’s deals with the EU? What will the UK get out of these deals?

Comment your views on brexit below

Pro-Brexit MP Gisela Stuart claims ‘EU citizens are currently being left in limbo’ by the Government

SOURCE: BBC

One of the leading Vote Leave figures Gisela Stuart has said EU citizens in the UK have been “left in limbo” since the referendum result to leave the European Union.

Furthermore, the Labour MP is expected to head a research project on how to protect EU migrant rights after the UK leaves the EU.

It will be a cross-party inquiry for the British Future think tank to examine what kind of legal status’ could be granted to EU citizens in the UK, in time before the process to leave the EU starts by the inevitable triggering of Article 50.

Many Ministers have indicated strongly that they want to protect EU citizens’ status – as long as a reciprocal deal can be negotiated.

It’s reported that multiple MPs from all parties have attacked the government’s stance, saying people “are not bargaining chips”.

Ms Stuart, the former co-chair of the Vote Leave campaign, has stated the government should quickly outline that all EU citizens in the UK – about three million people – will be allowed to stay after Brexit.

She further states that the government should “take the initiative” and emphasize their intentions to protect UK-EU citizens’ rights and that it expected the same treatment for UK nationals abroad.

She also believes Ministers should demonstrate that leaving the EU “doesn’t mean that we’re ignoring people’s rights”.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron believes it’s “pretty shameful” for Ms Stuart to be “claiming to be worried” about the rights of EU citizens.

He said she had been part of a campaign that “whipped up anti-immigrant feeling” and “contributed to an increase of hate crimes against Europeans”.

“It is like the arsonist turning round and saying they are surprised that a fire took hold,” Mr Farron has said.

Lastly, David Davis, the newly named Brexit secretary by new Prime Minister Theresa May, will oversee the negotiations on the UK’s exit from the European Union, and has said that he wants to secure a “generous settlement” for both EU nationals in the UK, and British citizens abroad.

Ministers have said it would be “unwise” to fully “guarantee” EU citizens’ rights without a deal for Britons abroad.

What do you make of the uncertainty behind EU citizens rights living in the UK?

Do the government need to state and maintain transparent and accountable help towards EU migrants living in the UK quickly? Will the government fully help EU migrants living in the UK?

Comment your views on EU migrant rights below

Russia-UK Relations to Improve?: May and Putin ‘pledge to improve ties’

SOURCE: BBC

Theresa May has, according to the BBC, made contact with the Russian President Vladimir Putin to negotiate a better relationship between the UK and Russia. 

It’s reported that both leaders have expressed dissatisfaction with UK-Russian relations, and pledged to improve ties, the Kremlin state.

A Downing Street spokeswoman has said that they (May and Putin) have agreed that co-operation on aviation security was a ‘vital part of efforts to fight terrorism.’

The two leaders will meet to talk about building stronger ties at the G20 summit of world leaders in China next month.

The relations between the two countries have been strained overtime, particularly following the UK inquiry which blamed the 2006 poisoning death of former spy Alexander Litvinenko on Russian agents and said it was ‘probably’ approved by Mr Putin.

Other contentious topics have included Russia’s support for the Syrian regime, the annexation of Crimea and fighting in Ukraine, and western sanctions against Russia.

A Downing Street spokeswoman confirmed that the leaders discussed common security threats faced by both countries.

She said: “The prime minister noted the importance of the relationship between the UK and Russia and expressed the hope that, despite differences on certain issues, they could communicate in an open and honest way about the issues that mattered most to them.

The two leaders agreed to develop a “dialogue between their security agencies on issues relating to aviation security”, the Kremlin said.

The Russian government also said Mrs May confirmed the UK’s intention to participate in the 75th anniversary of the first arrival of wartime aid by British convoys to the Russian city of Arkhangelsk, later this month.

How positive are you towards the potential improvement of UK-Russia relations?

Will this be a vital step forward to secure european peace between two major european players? How will America react to this after the past feuds they’ve had with Russia? Will the two nations be able to find common ground and create strong ties between one another?

Comment your views below

UKIP Leadership Race: Steven Woolfe Excluded From The Race After Late Application

SOURCE: BBC

By September, there will be leadership elections for Labour, The Greens and UKIP after the backlash of the EU Referendum sparked resignations and inner party conflicts (apart from the Greens who’s leader Natalie Bennett decided to step down before the EU Referendum).

The Conservatives also were expected to have a new leader in September, however one of the two in the Tory race Andrea Leadsom stood down from the race, meaning Theresa May became the new Prime Minister and Conservative Party Leader.

The article specifically delves upon UKIP’s race, a growing story after being shadowed by the recent Labour Party feuds effecting Jeremy Corbyn as leader, with votes of no confidence given to him by his own MP’s after their public disapproval over his Referendum performance was clearly shown.

Ms Angela Eagle, the former Shadow Business Secretary prompted the backlash through announcing her bid to become Labour Leader. Owen Smith, the current and only person challenging Corbyn to become Labour Leader, then shortly stepped up to the chase in being the new Labour Leader.

However, Angela Eagle stood down from the race, leaving only Owen Smith and Jeremy Corbyn, the current leader, to battle it out for Labour Leadership Status.

So now the Tory race it well and truly over, and the labour leadership race has quietened down slightly, UKIP have no become the news/public eye for leadership races.

Recently, the main UKIP leadership hopeful Steven Woolfe has been ruled ‘ineligible’ to stand in the contest to replace Nigel Farage – after he submitted his papers late. It was reported to be around 17 minutes late. 

This is big news, because according to the BBC, the party’s National Executive Committee (NEC) said it had voted by a ‘clear majority’ to exclude Mr Woolfe – previously seen as the frontrunner.

The MEP said he was ‘extremely disappointed’ by the decision, and three NEC members have quit in protest.

So here are the list of people who are on the UKIP ballot:

  • Jonathan Arnott
  • Bill Etheridge
  • Diane James
  • Lisa Duffy
  • Phillip Broughton
  • Elizabeth Jones

Speaking to the BBC, Mr Woolfe said he believed the NEC had ‘their own reasons’ for excluding him from the ballot, but implied it could have been linked to the fact he was committed to abolishing the executive.

The winner of the leadership contest – which was sparked by Mr Farage’s decision to stand down after the UK voted to leave the EU – is scheduled to be announced on 15 September.

Finally, In a statement announcing the final line-up, the party said: “By a clear majority of NEC members Steven Woolfe MEP’s application was considered to be ineligible as a result of a late submission and as such he did not meet the eligibility criteria.”

What do you make of the recent UKIP leadership movements?

Should Steven Woolfe have been accepted as a candidate, despite handing his application in late? What do you make of the current nominations list? Who do you think will win the UKIP leadership race?

Comment below your views on the UKIP leadership race

The Trident Weapons System has been renewed after MP’s vote 472-117 for it’s renewal

SOURCE: BBC

Tonight, MPs have heavily backed the renewal of the UK’s Trident nuclear weapons system, voting 472 to 117 in favour for it in Parliament.

The vote has now approved the manufacture of four replacement submarines at an estimated cost of £31bn.

The Defence Secretary Michael Fallon spoke to MPs in the house, saying nuclear threats were growing around the world and Trident ‘puts doubts in the minds of our adversaries’.

The Labour party was split over the issue with many of its MPs defying leader Jeremy Corbyn and backing the government.

Although Labour MPs were given a free vote, many used the occasion to attack Mr Corbyn, who is a longstanding opponent of nuclear weapons. The BBC has quoted that ‘60% of Labour’s MPs voted in favour of Trident renewal.’

Furthermore, the BBC have said that the SNP ‘opposed the move’, saying nuclear weapons were ‘immoral’ and the continued stationing of submarines on the Clyde could accelerate moves towards independence.

The vote saw a majority of 355 for trident renewal and was announced at the end of a five-hour debate, in which Prime Minister Theresa May spoke at the despatch box for the first time as prime minister.

Mrs May said it would be an ‘act of gross irresponsibility’ for the UK to abandon the continuous-at-sea weapons system.

Although preparatory work on renewal is already under way, Monday’s vote will give the final green light to a new fleet of submarines which are due to come into service by the early 2030s.

Mr Fallon has also spoken to say Trident had ‘helped protect the UK for more than 50 years’ and to disown it now would be to ‘gamble the long-term security of our citizens’.

The UK has faced growing threats from rogue nations, such as North Korea, as well as a more assertive Russia, he said.

“Nuclear weapons are here, they are not going to disappear,” Mr Fallon furthered. “It is the role of government to make sure we can defend ourselves against them.”

What’s your view of the Trident renewal?

Was it the best choice for the future of the UK’s defence matters? Is it to expensive to fund? Will it serve to be a ‘good’ decision for the UK overtime? What do you make of the overwhelming majority for it’s renewal?

Comment below your views on the trident renewals 

Theresa May’s newly appointed Cabinet

SOURCE: BBC

Theresa May has finalised her cabinet as the new UK Prime Minister, by shuffling, firing and hiring across her whole Cabinet team, including the ‘big’ jobs of Chancellor of the Exchequer, Foreign Secretary and Home Secretary.

Those fired include George Osborne, Michael Gove, John Whittingdale, Nicky Morgan and Oliver Letwin.

With all of the key cabinet appointments now announced, we can see how Prime Minister Theresa May has balanced her cabinet for the brexit negotiations and for the next few years. Here’s the list of the cabinet:

International Trade Secretary – Liam Fox 

Chancellor of the Exchequer – Philip Hammond

Foreign Secretary – Boris Johnson

Home Secretary – Amber Rudd

Defence Secretary – Michael Fallon

Health Secretary – Jeremy Hunt

Secretary of State for Exiting the EU – David Davis

Justice Secretary – Liz Truss

Education Secretary – Justine Greening

Secretary of State for International Trade – Liam Fox

Transport Secretary – Chris Grayling

Chief Whip – Gavin Williamson

Conservative Party chairman – Patrick McLoughlin

Leader of the House of Lords – Baroness Evans

Leader of the House of Commons -David Lidington

Culture Secretary – Karan Brady

International Development -Priti Patel

Communities and Local Government – Sajid Javid

Work and Pensions – Dominic Green

Scottish Secretary – David Mundell

Welsh Secretary – Alan Cairns

Northern Ireland Secretary – James Brokenshire

2nd placed Andrea Leadsman in the tory party race has earned herself the spot as Environment secretary. 

Controversial Jeremy Hunt maintains his spot as the Health Secretary.

Boris Johnson is the new Foreign Secretary which is a surprise to many after his Vote Leave campaigning and claims by people saying he constantly ‘lied’.

Amber Rudd replaces the new Prime Minister Theresa May as Home Secretary.

David Davis has been announced as the first ever ‘Brexit Secretary’ that will help lead the negotiations for the UK exit from the European Union.

Dr Liam Fox also becomes the first ever ‘International Trade Secretary’, so it is clear that it has been a Brexit motivated cabinet shuffle by Theresa May. ‘Brexit is Brexit’ after all.

What do you make of the newly made changes to the Conservative cabinet of UK Governance?

Will these newly appointed Cabinet MP’s get the best ‘Brexit’ outcomes for the UK, in terms of mainly trade? Who else would you have rather seen enter the Cabinet and in what roles? Is the UK now set to negotiate an EU exit?

Comment below your views on the new conservative cabinet and brexit 

David Cameron steps down as PM as Theresa May immediatley takes over

SOURCE: BBC

Today the Prime Minister David Cameron resigned from his post after accepting his defeat in the EU Referendum and choosing to inevitably step down for another to become leader. That person who won the chance to become the new Prime Minister was Theresa May just days after becoming one of two potential successors in what was going to be a head-to-head race to the leadership with Andrea Leadsman.

However, Ms Leadsom chose to stand down from the race on Monday, allowing the only remaining candidate, the former Home Secretary and party-popular Theresa May to win the race early, thus becoming Conservative part leader and Prime Minister.

In her first speech outside downing street as Prime Minister, she announced according to the BBC that she vowed to create a country that works for all not just the ‘privileged few’ and that it’s ”her mission to ‘build a better Britain’.

She further promised to give people who were ‘just managing’ and ‘working around the clock’ more control over their lives.

Mrs May is the UK’s second female prime minister, after Margaret Thatcher.

So what is on her to do list over the next few months?

  • Form a Cabinet: Mrs May will have to choose who she sits alongside around the Cabinet table. The most important appointments – chancellor, foreign secretary and home secretary – are expected to be announced on Wednesday with a fuller government reshuffle following over the next couple of days.
  • Trident Renewal: Her first meeting will be to discuss the Trident renewal and whether the UK should pay to renew it’s trident regimes. A very delicate subject to discuss and vote on.
  • Brexit Talks: Obviously, the UK has voted to leave the EU and she will now have to lead the talks on when article 50 should be triggered to get the process moving. She will have to also appoint a expert team into helping with negotiations in what will be a very firm brussels to negotiate with.
  • Clarify when the next General Election is: Theresa May has already said that she doesn’t want to have a snap general election due to it’s negative effects on an already ‘uncertain’ and ‘unstable’ economy. She will expected to announced the next general election to be held in 2020 as planned before.

What are your views of Theresa May becoming Prime Minister?

Is she the right choice? Will she succeed in the role? Will she successfully lead the UK out of the EU with the best possible outcomes such as gaining free trade? What did you make of David Cameron’s 6 year stint as Prime Minister?

Comment below YOUR views on Theresa May and David Cameron